Submitted by David N on Wed, 2016-08-31 21:03
Okay, lets assume a couple of things.
1. Let's assume using traditional production assemble methods, not the 5-10X improvement that Elon has mentioned.
2. Suppliers and battery production will be able to keep up with Tesla's Model 3 demand.
3. Tesla has a history of missing dates, and production targets.
So, given their history, what would be a reasonable timeline assumption on Tesla fulfilling the nearly 400,000 reservations?
I'm thinking 10,000-20,000 in 2017
125,000 in 2018
190,000 in 2019 (50% increase from previous year)
initial pre production reservations fulfilled sometime in 2020