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Model S Reservation Tally

Model S Reservation Tally

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post the 1) reservation number 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
S 249 (March 23, 2011)
P 3,446 (March 25, 2011)
R 218 (January 2011)

Canada
S 69 (March 24, 2011)
P 143 (March 9, 2011)

Europe/Asia
S 55 (January 18, 2011)*
P 448 (March 28, 2011)

Hong Kong
P 1 (March 23, 2011)

Australia
P 17 (January 21, 2011)

S = Signature Series (Model S)
P = General Production (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family

* = On March 1, 2011, a Tesla member posted, "Got the following info from Tesla some days ago: In Europe they have reduced the Signature down to 500 and approximately 70 have been reserved." While 55 is a confirmed/posted reservation number from this forum, the 70 has yet to be verified by the actual European reservation holder.

Brian H | 26. Dezember 2012

P.S. Plus, the Model X has just begun to stir. The soccer moms have barely begun to weigh in! ;)

michiganmodels | 26. Dezember 2012

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post 1) your reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model X Reservation Tally can be found here:
http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-x-reservation-tally-1

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
SSL 249 (January 4, 2012)
S 1,353 (October 19, 2012)
R 532 (October 30, 2012)
P 16,743 (December 25, 2012)

Canada
SSL 23 (July 18, 2012)
S 177 (September 23, 2012)
P 602 (December 25, 2012)

Europe/Asia
S 500 (July 2, 2012)
R 269 (November 25, 2012)
P 2,030 (December 22, 2012)

UK
S 20 (October 9, 2012)
P 75 (December 21, 2012)

Hong Kong
S 28 (September 27, 2012)
R 2 (July 9, 2011)
P 100 (October 30, 2012)

Australia
S 38 (August 18, 2012)
P 30 (July 13, 2012)

Gross Total: 22,771 – December 25, 2012

Net Total: 18,745 – December 25, 2012*

Official Deliveries: 132 - September 23, 2012**
Official Deliveries: 250 - October 3, 2012 Announcement***
Official Deliveries: 253 - 2012 3rd Quarter - November 5, 2012 Earnings Call ****

* = Net Total subtracts the 3,787 known Signature cancellations/downgrades unit differential & 253 Deliveries announced at November 5th 2012 3rd Quarter Earnings Call (See **** Link)
** = Official Deliveries stated in September 23, 2012 SEC Filing –
http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1...3621dex991.htm
*** = Official Deliveries stated in October 3, 2012 Blog Post –
http://www.teslamotors.com/blog/update-elon-musk
**** = http://files.shareholder.com/downloa...er%20Final.pdf

S = Signature Series (Model S)
SSL = Signature Special List (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family
P = General Production (Model S)

The SSL and S designation lists both begin at 1 and count up. There will be a SSL 4 and a S 4 and they will be separated in delivery sequence by about 250 cars or so. A Senior Tesla representative confirmed this counting sequence. There has been no official release of the number of Founders cars. According to a Senior Tesla representative, there were "about" 40 Founders cars.

l_younis | 26. Dezember 2012

Been thinking about this for over a year now, hopefully all the finances work out. Also seeing info on the Federal Incentive going up next year, and that it may go to Tesla instead of the end user

Reservation # 16,759

spentan | 26. Dezember 2012

Hi All,

I am based in Australia, and have reserved a non-sig Model S, my Reservation Sequence number is 48, and I got the confirmation email on 12/12/12.

Hope this helps. Bring on the RHD models :)

l_younis | 26. Dezember 2012

Been thinking about this for over a year now, hopefully all the finances work out. Also seeing info on the Federal Incentive going up next year, and that it may go to Tesla instead of the end user

Reservation # 16,759

Additional info, Region : US, General Production Model S

michiganmodels | 26. Dezember 2012

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post 1) your reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model X Reservation Tally can be found here:
http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-x-reservation-tally-1

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
SSL 249 (January 4, 2012)
S 1,353 (October 19, 2012)
R 532 (October 30, 2012)
P 16,759 (December 26, 2012)

Canada
SSL 23 (July 18, 2012)
S 177 (September 23, 2012)
P 602 (December 25, 2012)

Europe/Asia
S 500 (July 2, 2012)
R 269 (November 25, 2012)
P 2,030 (December 22, 2012)

UK
S 20 (October 9, 2012)
P 75 (December 21, 2012)

Hong Kong
S 28 (September 27, 2012)
R 2 (July 9, 2011)
P 100 (October 30, 2012)

Australia
S 38 (August 18, 2012)
P 48 (December 12, 2012)

Gross Total: 22,805 – December 26, 2012

Net Total: 18,779 – December 26, 2012*

Official Deliveries: 132 - September 23, 2012**
Official Deliveries: 250 - October 3, 2012 Announcement***
Official Deliveries: 253 - 2012 3rd Quarter - November 5, 2012 Earnings Call ****

* = Net Total subtracts the 3,787 known Signature cancellations/downgrades unit differential & 253 Deliveries announced at November 5th 2012 3rd Quarter Earnings Call (See **** Link)
** = Official Deliveries stated in September 23, 2012 SEC Filing –
http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1...3621dex991.htm
*** = Official Deliveries stated in October 3, 2012 Blog Post –
http://www.teslamotors.com/blog/update-elon-musk
**** = http://files.shareholder.com/downloa...er%20Final.pdf

S = Signature Series (Model S)
SSL = Signature Special List (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family
P = General Production (Model S)

The SSL and S designation lists both begin at 1 and count up. There will be a SSL 4 and a S 4 and they will be separated in delivery sequence by about 250 cars or so. A Senior Tesla representative confirmed this counting sequence. There has been no official release of the number of Founders cars. According to a Senior Tesla representative, there were "about" 40 Founders cars.

Brian H | 27. Dezember 2012

As of December 26, 2012, projected cumulative reservations and deliveries by end Dec. 2012, and Dec. 2013, using uncorrected count, and taking Apr. 27/09 as start date:

December 31 2012 (22,805*1,376)/1,371 = 22,888
December 31 2013 (22,805*1,741)/1,371 = 28,960
:) ↑
.
December 31 2012 extrapolation from July 1 2012 base:
13,260 + (22,805 - 13,260)*184/179 = 23,072
.
:) ↑
.
December 31, 2012 extrapolation from October 31 base:
18,337 + (22,805 - 18,337)*61/56 = 23,204
:( ↓

_________

Daily Reservation rates implied in the three Dec. 31 projections above:

Since Apr. '09: 16.6 :| →
.
Since June '12: 53.3 :| →
.
Since Oct. '12: 79.8 :( ↓

Brian H | 27. Dezember 2012

Corr:

As of December 26, 2012, projected cumulative reservations and deliveries by end Dec. 2012, and Dec. 2013, using uncorrected count, and taking Apr. 27/09 as start date:

December 31 2012 (22,805*1,376)/1,371 = 22,888
December 31 2013 (22,805*1,741)/1,371 = 28,960
:) ↑
.
December 31 2012 extrapolation from July 1 2012 base:
13,260 + (22,805 - 13,260)*184/179 = 23,072
.
:) ↑
.
December 31, 2012 extrapolation from October 31 base:
18,337 + (22,805 - 18,337)*61/56 = 23,204
:( ↓

_________

Daily Reservation rates implied in the three Dec. 31 projections above:

Since Apr. '09: 16.6 :| →
.
Since June '12: 53.3 :| →
.
Since Oct. '12: 79.8 :( ↓

johnbastiaan | 27. Dezember 2012

EU P #2073 on 26th dec

michiganmodels | 27. Dezember 2012

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post 1) your reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model X Reservation Tally can be found here:
http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-x-reservation-tally-1

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
SSL 249 (January 4, 2012)
S 1,353 (October 19, 2012)
R 532 (October 30, 2012)
P 16,759 (December 26, 2012)

Canada
SSL 23 (July 18, 2012)
S 177 (September 23, 2012)
P 602 (December 25, 2012)

Europe/Asia
S 500 (July 2, 2012)
R 269 (November 25, 2012)
P 2,073 (December 26, 2012)

UK
S 20 (October 9, 2012)
P 75 (December 21, 2012)

Hong Kong
S 28 (September 27, 2012)
R 2 (July 9, 2011)
P 100 (October 30, 2012)

Australia
S 38 (August 18, 2012)
P 48 (December 12, 2012)

Gross Total: 22,848 – December 26, 2012

Net Total: 18,822 – December 26, 2012*

Official Deliveries: 132 - September 23, 2012**
Official Deliveries: 250 - October 3, 2012 Announcement***
Official Deliveries: 253 - 2012 3rd Quarter - November 5, 2012 Earnings Call ****

* = Net Total subtracts the 3,787 known Signature cancellations/downgrades unit differential & 253 Deliveries announced at November 5th 2012 3rd Quarter Earnings Call (See **** Link)
** = Official Deliveries stated in September 23, 2012 SEC Filing –
http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1...3621dex991.htm
*** = Official Deliveries stated in October 3, 2012 Blog Post –
http://www.teslamotors.com/blog/update-elon-musk
**** = http://files.shareholder.com/downloa...er%20Final.pdf

S = Signature Series (Model S)
SSL = Signature Special List (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family
P = General Production (Model S)

The SSL and S designation lists both begin at 1 and count up. There will be a SSL 4 and a S 4 and they will be separated in delivery sequence by about 250 cars or so. A Senior Tesla representative confirmed this counting sequence. There has been no official release of the number of Founders cars. According to a Senior Tesla representative, there were "about" 40 Founders cars.

GoTeslaChicago | 27. Dezember 2012

December 31, 2013 reservation projection taking the daily reservation rate since October added to Brian's latest December 2012 projection.

365 X 79.8 = 29,127 +23,204 = 52,331

less 23,000 deliveries (3,000 for 2012 and 20,000 est for 2013)
Less 6,733 cancellations (est 25% for first 10,000 and 10% thereafter)

52,331 - (23,000 + 6,733) = 22,598

Projected wait list Dec. 31, 2013 at end of first full year of production: 22,598

Of course production could be considerably more than 20,000 in 2013, but then again, reservations might increase even more!

Whity Whiteman | 27. Dezember 2012

another interesting number maybe is the average reservation-rate of the last month:

26.11.2012: 16309
26.12.2012: 18822
2513 Cars 31 days --

That's 81 Cars a day.

archibaldcrane | 27. Dezember 2012

Welp, just cancelled reservation #12,104 and reserved #16,921. Wanted to move back my build date as far as possible (so my finances are in better order) but not get hit with the price increase. So it's not a new car in production, but it is a new reservation, should hit #17k tomorrow.

Nicu.Mihalache | 27. Dezember 2012
michiganmodels | 27. Dezember 2012

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post 1) your reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model X Reservation Tally can be found here:
http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-x-reservation-tally-1

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
SSL 249 (January 4, 2012)
S 1,353 (October 19, 2012)
R 532 (October 30, 2012)
P 16,921 (December 27, 2012)

Canada
SSL 23 (July 18, 2012)
S 177 (September 23, 2012)
P 602 (December 25, 2012)

Europe/Asia
S 500 (July 2, 2012)
R 269 (November 25, 2012)
P 2,073 (December 26, 2012)

UK
S 20 (October 9, 2012)
P 75 (December 21, 2012)

Hong Kong
S 28 (September 27, 2012)
R 2 (July 9, 2011)
P 100 (October 30, 2012)

Australia
S 38 (August 18, 2012)
P 48 (December 12, 2012)

Gross Total: 23,010 – December 27, 2012

Net Total: 18,984 – December 27, 2012*

Official Deliveries: 132 - September 23, 2012**
Official Deliveries: 250 - October 3, 2012 Announcement***
Official Deliveries: 253 - 2012 3rd Quarter - November 5, 2012 Earnings Call ****

* = Net Total subtracts the 3,787 known Signature cancellations/downgrades unit differential & 253 Deliveries announced at November 5th 2012 3rd Quarter Earnings Call (See **** Link)
** = Official Deliveries stated in September 23, 2012 SEC Filing –
http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1...3621dex991.htm
*** = Official Deliveries stated in October 3, 2012 Blog Post –
http://www.teslamotors.com/blog/update-elon-musk
**** = http://files.shareholder.com/downloa...er%20Final.pdf

S = Signature Series (Model S)
SSL = Signature Special List (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family
P = General Production (Model S)

The SSL and S designation lists both begin at 1 and count up. There will be a SSL 4 and a S 4 and they will be separated in delivery sequence by about 250 cars or so. A Senior Tesla representative confirmed this counting sequence. There has been no official release of the number of Founders cars. According to a Senior Tesla representative, there were "about" 40 Founders cars.

Kevlym | 27. Dezember 2012

US P #16837 on 12/26

Brian H | 28. Dezember 2012

As of December 27, 2012, projected cumulative reservations and deliveries by end Dec. 2012, and Dec. 2013, using uncorrected count, and taking Apr. 27/09 as start date:

December 31 2012 (23,010*1,376)/1,372 = 23,077
December 31 2013 (23,010*1,741)/1,372 = 29,199
:) ↑
.
December 31 2012 extrapolation from July 1 2012 base:
13,260 + (23,010 - 13,260)*184/180 = 23,227
:) ↑
.
December 31, 2012 extrapolation from October 31 base:
18,337 + (23,010 - 18,337)*61/57 = 23,338
:) ↑

_________

Daily Reservation rates implied in the three Dec. 31 projections above:

Since Apr. '09: 16.8 :) ↑
.
Since June '12: 54.2 :) ↑
.
Since Oct. '12: 82.0 :) ↑

Taking the corrected number and guesstimated deliveries into account, there will be over 15K unfilled reservations at year end.

OnkelKarl | 28. Dezember 2012

Here I found, that there were 300 reservations in in Hong Kong. 'Meanwhile, over in Hong Kong, Tesla has already received around 300 reservations for the Model S (and Model X).'
http://green.autoblog.com/2012/12/21/tesla-model-s-vs-the-world/

bcimae.co.us | 28. Dezember 2012

I was a very good boy this year and santa claus thought I should get an 'S' res. My wife thought I would enjoy making the res myself so at about 9pm on the 25th I got res # 16748. Fast forward 72 hours, I was at the mall and 'just happened' to be at the Tesla store met someone who had just made res # 1704X. That is about 100 US reservations per day for the last three days. WOW!

GeirT | 28. Dezember 2012

Europe, P, #2145 27DEC

michiganmodels | 29. Dezember 2012

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post 1) your reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model X Reservation Tally can be found here:
http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-x-reservation-tally-1

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
SSL 249 (January 4, 2012)
S 1,353 (October 19, 2012)
R 532 (October 30, 2012)
P 17,040 (December 28, 2012)

Canada
SSL 23 (July 18, 2012)
S 177 (September 23, 2012)
P 602 (December 25, 2012)

Europe/Asia
S 500 (July 2, 2012)
R 269 (November 25, 2012)
P 2,145 (December 27, 2012)

UK
S 20 (October 9, 2012)
P 75 (December 21, 2012)

Hong Kong
S 28 (September 27, 2012)
R 2 (July 9, 2011)
P 100 (October 30, 2012)

Australia
S 38 (August 18, 2012)
P 48 (December 12, 2012)

Gross Total: 23,201 – December 28, 2012

Net Total: 19,175 – December 28, 2012*

Official Deliveries: 132 - September 23, 2012**
Official Deliveries: 250 - October 3, 2012 Announcement***
Official Deliveries: 253 - 2012 3rd Quarter - November 5, 2012 Earnings Call ****

* = Net Total subtracts the 3,787 known Signature cancellations/downgrades unit differential & 253 Deliveries announced at November 5th 2012 3rd Quarter Earnings Call (See **** Link)
** = Official Deliveries stated in September 23, 2012 SEC Filing –
http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1...3621dex991.htm
*** = Official Deliveries stated in October 3, 2012 Blog Post –
http://www.teslamotors.com/blog/update-elon-musk
**** = http://files.shareholder.com/downloa...er%20Final.pdf

S = Signature Series (Model S)
SSL = Signature Special List (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family
P = General Production (Model S)

The SSL and S designation lists both begin at 1 and count up. There will be a SSL 4 and a S 4 and they will be separated in delivery sequence by about 250 cars or so. A Senior Tesla representative confirmed this counting sequence. There has been no official release of the number of Founders cars. According to a Senior Tesla representative, there were "about" 40 Founders cars.

MB3 | 29. Dezember 2012

Despite a small lull just before Christmas, sales are averaging around 90/day (~33k/year) since the MT COTY bump. See graphs here

Brian H | 29. Dezember 2012

As of December 28, 2012, projected cumulative reservations and deliveries by end Dec. 2012, and Dec. 2013, using uncorrected count, and taking Apr. 27/09 as start date:

December 31 2012 (23,201*1,376)/1,373 = 23,252
December 31 2013 (23,201*1,741)/1,373 = 29,419
:) ↑
.
December 31 2012 extrapolation from July 1 2012 base:
13,260 + (23,201 - 13,260)*184/181 = 23,366
:) ↑
.
December 31, 2012 extrapolation from October 31 base:
18,337 + (23,201 - 18,337)*61/58 = 23,453
:) ↑

_________

Daily Reservation rates implied in the three Dec. 31 projections above:

Since Apr. '09: 16.9 :) ↑
.
Since June '12: 54.9 :) ↑
.
Since Oct. '12: 83.9 :) ↑

Taking the corrected number and guesstimated deliveries into account, there will be over 15K unfilled reservations at year end.

jkirkebo | 30. Dezember 2012

US P 17,213 just reported on TMC.

rlpm | 30. Dezember 2012

@michiganmodels: Is Japan included in the "Europe/Asia" reservations? If so, can you break those out, as they're RHD, which reportedly won't start production until late 2013? The other major RHD regions, UK/AUS/HK, are already broken out. Thanks.

michiganmodels | 31. Dezember 2012

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post 1) your reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model X Reservation Tally can be found here:
http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-x-reservation-tally-1

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
SSL 249 (January 4, 2012)
S 1,353 (October 19, 2012)
R 532 (October 30, 2012)
P 17,213 (December 30, 2012)

Canada
SSL 23 (July 18, 2012)
S 177 (September 23, 2012)
P 602 (December 25, 2012)

Europe/Asia
S 500 (July 2, 2012)
R 269 (November 25, 2012)
P 2,145 (December 27, 2012)

UK
S 20 (October 9, 2012)
P 75 (December 21, 2012)

Hong Kong
S 28 (September 27, 2012)
R 2 (July 9, 2011)
P 100 (October 30, 2012)

Australia
S 38 (August 18, 2012)
P 48 (December 12, 2012)

Gross Total: 23,374 – December 30, 2012

Net Total: 19,348 – December 30, 2012*

Official Deliveries: 132 - September 23, 2012**
Official Deliveries: 250 - October 3, 2012 Announcement***
Official Deliveries: 253 - 2012 3rd Quarter - November 5, 2012 Earnings Call ****

* = Net Total subtracts the 3,787 known Signature cancellations/downgrades unit differential & 253 Deliveries announced at November 5th 2012 3rd Quarter Earnings Call (See **** Link)
** = Official Deliveries stated in September 23, 2012 SEC Filing –
http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1...3621dex991.htm
*** = Official Deliveries stated in October 3, 2012 Blog Post –
http://www.teslamotors.com/blog/update-elon-musk
**** = http://files.shareholder.com/downloa...er%20Final.pdf

S = Signature Series (Model S)
SSL = Signature Special List (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family
P = General Production (Model S)

The SSL and S designation lists both begin at 1 and count up. There will be a SSL 4 and a S 4 and they will be separated in delivery sequence by about 250 cars or so. A Senior Tesla representative confirmed this counting sequence. There has been no official release of the number of Founders cars. According to a Senior Tesla representative, there were "about" 40 Founders cars.

Brian H | 31. Dezember 2012

As of December 30, 2012, projected cumulative reservations and deliveries by end Dec. 2012, and Dec. 2013, using uncorrected count, and taking Apr. 27/09 as start date:

December 31 2012 (23,374*1,376)/1,375 = 23,390
December 31 2013 (23,374*1,741)/1,375 = 29,594
:) ↑
.
December 31 2012 extrapolation from July 1 2012 base:
13,260 + (23,374 - 13,260)*184/183 = 23,428
:) ↑
.
December 31, 2012 extrapolation from October 31 base:
18,337 + (23,374 - 18,337)*61/60 = 23,458
:) ↑

_________

Daily Reservation rates implied in the three Dec. 31 projections above:

Since Apr. '09: 17.0 :) ↑
.
Since June '12: 55.2 :) ↑
.
Since Oct. '12: 84.0 :) ↑

Taking the corrected number and guesstimated deliveries into account, there will be over 15K unfilled reservations at year end.

spaterson76 | 31. Dezember 2012

Just got US res # 17468

michiganmodels | 31. Dezember 2012

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post 1) your reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model X Reservation Tally can be found here:
http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-x-reservation-tally-1

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
SSL 249 (January 4, 2012)
S 1,353 (October 19, 2012)
R 532 (October 30, 2012)
P 17,468 (December 31, 2012)

Canada
SSL 23 (July 18, 2012)
S 177 (September 23, 2012)
P 602 (December 25, 2012)

Europe/Asia
S 500 (July 2, 2012)
R 269 (November 25, 2012)
P 2,145 (December 27, 2012)

UK
S 20 (October 9, 2012)
P 75 (December 21, 2012)

Hong Kong
S 28 (September 27, 2012)
R 2 (July 9, 2011)
P 100 (October 30, 2012)

Australia
S 38 (August 18, 2012)
P 48 (December 12, 2012)

Gross Total: 23,629 – December 31, 2012

Net Total: 19,603 – December 31, 2012*

Official Deliveries: 132 - September 23, 2012**
Official Deliveries: 250 - October 3, 2012 Announcement***
Official Deliveries: 253 - 2012 3rd Quarter - November 5, 2012 Earnings Call ****

* = Net Total subtracts the 3,787 known Signature cancellations/downgrades unit differential & 253 Deliveries announced at November 5th 2012 3rd Quarter Earnings Call (See **** Link)
** = Official Deliveries stated in September 23, 2012 SEC Filing –
http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1...3621dex991.htm
*** = Official Deliveries stated in October 3, 2012 Blog Post –
http://www.teslamotors.com/blog/update-elon-musk
**** = http://files.shareholder.com/downloa...er%20Final.pdf

S = Signature Series (Model S)
SSL = Signature Special List (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family
P = General Production (Model S)

The SSL and S designation lists both begin at 1 and count up. There will be a SSL 4 and a S 4 and they will be separated in delivery sequence by about 250 cars or so. A Senior Tesla representative confirmed this counting sequence. There has been no official release of the number of Founders cars. According to a Senior Tesla representative, there were "about" 40 Founders cars.

lazyav8tr | 31. Dezember 2012

Canada res P624

michiganmodels | 31. Dezember 2012

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post 1) your reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model X Reservation Tally can be found here:
http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-x-reservation-tally-1

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
SSL 249 (January 4, 2012)
S 1,353 (October 19, 2012)
R 532 (October 30, 2012)
P 17,468 (December 31, 2012)

Canada
SSL 23 (July 18, 2012)
S 177 (September 23, 2012)
P 624 (December 31, 2012)

Europe/Asia
S 500 (July 2, 2012)
R 269 (November 25, 2012)
P 2,145 (December 27, 2012)

UK
S 20 (October 9, 2012)
P 75 (December 21, 2012)

Hong Kong
S 28 (September 27, 2012)
R 2 (July 9, 2011)
P 100 (October 30, 2012)

Australia
S 38 (August 18, 2012)
P 48 (December 12, 2012)

Gross Total: 23,651 – December 31, 2012

Net Total: 19,625 – December 31, 2012*

Official Deliveries: 132 - September 23, 2012**
Official Deliveries: 250 - October 3, 2012 Announcement***
Official Deliveries: 253 - 2012 3rd Quarter - November 5, 2012 Earnings Call ****

* = Net Total subtracts the 3,787 known Signature cancellations/downgrades unit differential & 253 Deliveries announced at November 5th 2012 3rd Quarter Earnings Call (See **** Link)
** = Official Deliveries stated in September 23, 2012 SEC Filing –
http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1...3621dex991.htm
*** = Official Deliveries stated in October 3, 2012 Blog Post –
http://www.teslamotors.com/blog/update-elon-musk
**** = http://files.shareholder.com/downloa...er%20Final.pdf

S = Signature Series (Model S)
SSL = Signature Special List (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family
P = General Production (Model S)

The SSL and S designation lists both begin at 1 and count up. There will be a SSL 4 and a S 4 and they will be separated in delivery sequence by about 250 cars or so. A Senior Tesla representative confirmed this counting sequence. There has been no official release of the number of Founders cars. According to a Senior Tesla representative, there were "about" 40 Founders cars.

michiganmodels | 31. Dezember 2012

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post 1) your reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model X Reservation Tally can be found here:
http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-x-reservation-tally-1

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
SSL 249 (January 4, 2012)
S 1,353 (October 19, 2012)
R 532 (October 30, 2012)
P 17,711 (December 31, 2012)

Canada
SSL 23 (July 18, 2012)
S 177 (September 23, 2012)
P 624 (December 31, 2012)

Europe/Asia
S 500 (July 2, 2012)
R 269 (November 25, 2012)
P 2,145 (December 27, 2012)

UK
S 20 (October 9, 2012)
P 75 (December 21, 2012)

Hong Kong
S 28 (September 27, 2012)
R 2 (July 9, 2011)
P 100 (October 30, 2012)

Australia
S 38 (August 18, 2012)
P 48 (December 12, 2012)

Gross Total: 23,894 – December 31, 2012

Net Total: 19,868 – December 31, 2012*

Official Deliveries: 132 - September 23, 2012**
Official Deliveries: 250 - October 3, 2012 Announcement***
Official Deliveries: 253 - 2012 3rd Quarter - November 5, 2012 Earnings Call ****

* = Net Total subtracts the 3,787 known Signature cancellations/downgrades unit differential & 253 Deliveries announced at November 5th 2012 3rd Quarter Earnings Call (See **** Link)
** = Official Deliveries stated in September 23, 2012 SEC Filing –
http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1...3621dex991.htm
*** = Official Deliveries stated in October 3, 2012 Blog Post –
http://www.teslamotors.com/blog/update-elon-musk
**** = http://files.shareholder.com/downloa...er%20Final.pdf

S = Signature Series (Model S)
SSL = Signature Special List (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family
P = General Production (Model S)

The SSL and S designation lists both begin at 1 and count up. There will be a SSL 4 and a S 4 and they will be separated in delivery sequence by about 250 cars or so. A Senior Tesla representative confirmed this counting sequence. There has been no official release of the number of Founders cars. According to a Senior Tesla representative, there were "about" 40 Founders cars.

cprenzl | 31. Dezember 2012
michiganmodels | 31. Dezember 2012

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post 1) your reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model X Reservation Tally can be found here:
http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-x-reservation-tally-1

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
SSL 249 (January 4, 2012)
S 1,353 (October 19, 2012)
R 532 (October 30, 2012)
P 17,773 (December 31, 2012)

Canada
SSL 23 (July 18, 2012)
S 177 (September 23, 2012)
P 624 (December 31, 2012)

Europe/Asia
S 500 (July 2, 2012)
R 269 (November 25, 2012)
P 2,145 (December 27, 2012)

UK
S 20 (October 9, 2012)
P 75 (December 21, 2012)

Hong Kong
S 28 (September 27, 2012)
R 2 (July 9, 2011)
P 100 (October 30, 2012)

Australia
S 38 (August 18, 2012)
P 48 (December 12, 2012)

Gross Total: 23,956 – December 31, 2012

Net Total: 19,930 – December 31, 2012*

Official Deliveries: 132 - September 23, 2012**
Official Deliveries: 250 - October 3, 2012 Announcement***
Official Deliveries: 253 - 2012 3rd Quarter - November 5, 2012 Earnings Call ****

* = Net Total subtracts the 3,787 known Signature cancellations/downgrades unit differential & 253 Deliveries announced at November 5th 2012 3rd Quarter Earnings Call (See **** Link)
** = Official Deliveries stated in September 23, 2012 SEC Filing –
http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1...3621dex991.htm
*** = Official Deliveries stated in October 3, 2012 Blog Post –
http://www.teslamotors.com/blog/update-elon-musk
**** = http://files.shareholder.com/downloa...er%20Final.pdf

S = Signature Series (Model S)
SSL = Signature Special List (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family
P = General Production (Model S)

The SSL and S designation lists both begin at 1 and count up. There will be a SSL 4 and a S 4 and they will be separated in delivery sequence by about 250 cars or so. A Senior Tesla representative confirmed this counting sequence. There has been no official release of the number of Founders cars. According to a Senior Tesla representative, there were "about" 40 Founders cars.

michiganmodels | 31. Dezember 2012

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post 1) your reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model X Reservation Tally can be found here:
http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-x-reservation-tally-1

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
SSL 249 (January 4, 2012)
S 1,353 (October 19, 2012)
R 532 (October 30, 2012)
P 17,826 (December 31, 2012)

Canada
SSL 23 (July 18, 2012)
S 177 (September 23, 2012)
P 624 (December 31, 2012)

Europe/Asia
S 500 (July 2, 2012)
R 269 (November 25, 2012)
P 2,145 (December 27, 2012)

UK
S 20 (October 9, 2012)
P 75 (December 21, 2012)

Hong Kong
S 28 (September 27, 2012)
R 2 (July 9, 2011)
P 100 (October 30, 2012)

Australia
S 38 (August 18, 2012)
P 48 (December 12, 2012)

Gross Total: 24,009 – December 31, 2012

Net Total: 19,983 – December 31, 2012*

Official Deliveries: 132 - September 23, 2012**
Official Deliveries: 250 - October 3, 2012 Announcement***
Official Deliveries: 253 - 2012 3rd Quarter - November 5, 2012 Earnings Call ****

* = Net Total subtracts the 3,787 known Signature cancellations/downgrades unit differential & 253 Deliveries announced at November 5th 2012 3rd Quarter Earnings Call (See **** Link)
** = Official Deliveries stated in September 23, 2012 SEC Filing –
http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1...3621dex991.htm
*** = Official Deliveries stated in October 3, 2012 Blog Post –
http://www.teslamotors.com/blog/update-elon-musk
**** = http://files.shareholder.com/downloa...er%20Final.pdf

S = Signature Series (Model S)
SSL = Signature Special List (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family
P = General Production (Model S)

The SSL and S designation lists both begin at 1 and count up. There will be a SSL 4 and a S 4 and they will be separated in delivery sequence by about 250 cars or so. A Senior Tesla representative confirmed this counting sequence. There has been no official release of the number of Founders cars. According to a Senior Tesla representative, there were "about" 40 Founders cars.

David70 | 31. Dezember 2012

Wow. Only 17 away from 20,000 and still 2 hours from the new year on the west coast.

cprenzl | 31. Dezember 2012

Someone please just reserve right before the new year so we know!

Brian H | 01. Januar 2013

cpranzi;
They have to post somewhere on the forums for mm to find it. Tesla does not update him. His number(s) will therefore usually be a bit low.

Brian H | 01. Januar 2013

typo: cprenzi. Sarry! ;)

Brian H | 01. Januar 2013

As of December 31, 2012 (subject to update), projected cumulative reservations and deliveries by end Dec. 2012, and Dec. 2013, using uncorrected count, and taking Apr. 27/09 as start date:

December 31 2012 (24,009*1,376)/1,376 = 24,009
December 31 2013 (24,009*1,741)/1,376 = 30,378
:) ↑
.
Extrapolation from July 1, 2012 base:
December 31 2012 13,260 + (24,009 - 13,260)*184/184 = 24,009
December 31 2013 13,260 + (24,009 - 13,260)*549/184 = 32,072
.
Extrapolation from October 31, 2012 base:
December 31, 2012 18,337 + (24,009 - 18,337)*61/61 = 24,009
December 31, 2013 18,337 + (24,009 - 18,337)*426/61 = 57,948
:) ↑

_________

Daily Reservation rates implied in the three Dec. 31 projections above:

Since Apr. '09: 17.4 :) ↑
.
Since June '12: 58.4 :) ↑
.
Since Oct. '12: 93.0 :) ↑

Taking the corrected number and guesstimated deliveries into account, there are over 15K unfilled reservations at year end.

ArieK | 01. Januar 2013

It will be interesting to see how the reservation trend goes now that the price increase has taken effect.

desiguy | 01. Januar 2013

The recent bump could be due to folks canceling and then re-booking .. any tracking of cancellations?

Brian H | 01. Januar 2013

No cancellation tracking, other than deducing them from the quarterly/annual financials. Best such estimate currently is 4,100 -- though the "churn" you refer to is likely to boost that.

MichiganmodelS' "net total" above subtracts these "known" cancellations and will be adjusted as reliable information comes available.

Brian H | 01. Januar 2013

mm;
suggestion -- if possible, for a couple of days include/report only new #s as of Dec. 31 to try and get an accurate y/e reading.

Brian H | 01. Januar 2013

Corr:

As of December 31, 2012 (subject to update), projected cumulative reservations and deliveries by end Dec. 2012, and Dec. 2013, using uncorrected count, and taking Apr. 27/09 as start date:

December 31 2012 (24,009*1,376)/1,376 = 24,009
December 31 2013 (24,009*1,741)/1,376 = 30,378
:) ↑
.
Extrapolation from July 1, 2012 base:
December 31 2012 13,260 + (24,009 - 13,260)*184/184 = 24,009
December 31 2013 13,260 + (24,009 - 13,260)*549/184 = 32,072
:) ↑
.
Extrapolation from October 31, 2012 base:
December 31, 2012 18,337 + (24,009 - 18,337)*61/61 = 24,009
December 31, 2013 18,337 + (24,009 - 18,337)*426/61 = 57,948
:) ↑

_________

Daily Reservation rates implied in the three Dec. 31 projections above:

Since Apr. '09: 17.4 :) ↑
.
Since June '12: 58.4 :) ↑
.
Since Oct. '12: 93.0 :) ↑

Taking the corrected number and guesstimated deliveries into account, there are over 15K unfilled reservations at year end.

Brian H | 01. Januar 2013

Corr:

As of December 31, 2012 (subject to update), projected cumulative reservations and deliveries by end Dec. 2012, and Dec. 2013, using uncorrected count, and taking Apr. 27/09 as start date:

December 31 2012 (24,009*1,376)/1,376 = 24,009
December 31 2013 (24,009*1,741)/1,376 = 30,378
:) ↑
.
Extrapolation from July 1, 2012 base:
December 31 2012 13,260 + (24,009 - 13,260)*184/184 = 24,009
December 31 2013 13,260 + (24,009 - 13,260)*549/184 = 32,072
:) ↑
.
Extrapolation from October 31, 2012 base:
December 31, 2012 18,337 + (24,009 - 18,337)*61/61 = 24,009
December 31, 2013 18,337 + (24,009 - 18,337)*426/61 = 57,948
:) ↑

_________

Daily Reservation rates implied in the three Dec. 31 projections above:

Since Apr. '09: 17.4 :) ↑
.
Since June '12: 58.4 :) ↑
.
Since Oct. '12: 93.0 :) ↑

Taking the corrected number and guesstimated deliveries into account, there are over 16K unfilled reservations at year end.

michiganmodels | 01. Januar 2013

This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post 1) your reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model X Reservation Tally can be found here:
http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-x-reservation-tally-1

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
SSL 249 (January 4, 2012)
S 1,353 (October 19, 2012)
R 532 (October 30, 2012)
P 17,849 (December 31, 2012)

Canada
SSL 23 (July 18, 2012)
S 177 (September 23, 2012)
P 624 (December 31, 2012)

Europe/Asia
S 500 (July 2, 2012)
R 269 (November 25, 2012)
P 2,145 (December 27, 2012)

UK
S 20 (October 9, 2012)
P 75 (December 21, 2012)

Hong Kong
S 28 (September 27, 2012)
R 2 (July 9, 2011)
P 100 (October 30, 2012)

Australia
S 38 (August 18, 2012)
P 48 (December 12, 2012)

Gross Total: 24,032 – December 31, 2012

Net Total: 20,006 – December 31, 2012*

Official Deliveries: 132 - September 23, 2012**
Official Deliveries: 250 - October 3, 2012 Announcement***
Official Deliveries: 253 - 2012 3rd Quarter - November 5, 2012 Earnings Call ****

* = Net Total subtracts the 3,787 known Signature cancellations/downgrades unit differential & 253 Deliveries announced at November 5th 2012 3rd Quarter Earnings Call (See **** Link)
** = Official Deliveries stated in September 23, 2012 SEC Filing –
http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1...3621dex991.htm
*** = Official Deliveries stated in October 3, 2012 Blog Post –
http://www.teslamotors.com/blog/update-elon-musk
**** = http://files.shareholder.com/downloa...er%20Final.pdf

S = Signature Series (Model S)
SSL = Signature Special List (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family
P = General Production (Model S)

The SSL and S designation lists both begin at 1 and count up. There will be a SSL 4 and a S 4 and they will be separated in delivery sequence by about 250 cars or so. A Senior Tesla representative confirmed this counting sequence. There has been no official release of the number of Founders cars. According to a Senior Tesla representative, there were "about" 40 Founders cars.

gregv64 | 01. Januar 2013

Interesting to see how many days pass before we get post new years reservation post.

KevinR.co.us | 01. Januar 2013

I am expecting about a month of drop off in reservations (my Scientific Wild Ass Guess SWAG)

GoTeslaChicago | 01. Januar 2013

December 31, 2013 reservation projection taking the daily reservation rate since October added to MM's December 31, 2012 count.

365 X 93 = 33,945 +24,032 = 57,977

less 33,000 deliveries (3,000 for 2012 and 30,000 est for 2013)
Less 8,797 cancellations (est 30% for first 10,000, 20% for the second 10,000 and 10% thereafter)

I increased the cancellation estimates to better reflect the already known cancellations as well as the number of customers who might have cancelled and re-reserved at the end of December. I also increased the production estimate to 30,000 to reflect the likelihood that the factory can and will increase production above the initial 20,000 annual rate to respond to the surging demand.

57,977 - (33,000 + 8,797) = 16,180

Projected wait list Dec. 31, 2013 at end of first full year of production: 16,180

Substitute your own production, cancellation and reservation rates to get your own preferred estimate.

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