Model X

Model X Reservation Tally

1246737

Comments

  • edited November -1
    tpmeyer;
    What period do you use to get 4.3? Since the reveal, the rate is 8.3.
  • edited November -1
    Global, that is. Subtract about 1/4 to get the US rate.
  • edited November -1
    1638 / October 11, 2012 / United States / General Production
  • edited November -1
    All I did was go through this forum and pull out all the people who announce their number and date, to get these data:
    DATE Res #
    7/20/2012 1261
    7/24/2012 1274
    7/27/2012 1284
    8/2/2012 1315
    7/30/2012 1297
    8/29/2012 1436
    8/31/2012 1444
    8/28/2012 1428
    8/27/2012 1417
    9/17/2012 1509
    9/26/2012 1546
    9/28/2012 1565
    10/9/2012 1616
    10/11/2012 1638

    And then did a simple linear fit. The 1638 two days after 1616 is a significant blip up, and now the slope says 4.37 reservations/day instead of 4.3. If I could attach the graph, you could see how good the fit is. All the points lie right on the line except the last is a tad bit above.
  • edited November -1
    If I use the gross tallies instead, as published my michiganmodels, I get about 6 reservations/day.

    I'm hoping the rates start to go up of course. When they do, it might be a good time to buy the stock. If I start to see a "hockey stick", I'll let you know!
  • edited November -1
    Doh. I had the S figures on my brain. You're right, of course.

    Note that TM is deliberately saying nothing about the X until the "ramp up" is accomplished. I wouldn't expect to see any bump in the X-res rate this calendar year.
  • edited November -1
    Unless the "spill-over" effect of interest in the S gets lots of people turned on to the X in parallel -- quite possible. Here's a guess: until TM starts to "push" the X, its res-rate will be about ½ the S', which is now about 8.3/day.

    :)
  • edited November -1
    Brian,

    The Model S reservation rate is more like 30 to 40 a day.
  • edited November -1
    Canada P57 (June 18, 2012)
  • edited November -1
    GTM;
    Yes, of course you're right. Posting too late at night has its hazards. My number for the S since July 1 is actually about 44/day.

    ;)
  • edited November -1
    Correction: GTC, not GTM. |:/
  • edited November -1
    This thread is intended to track Model X reservations.

    If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post the 1) reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

    The Model S Reservation Tally can be found here:
    http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-s-reservation-tally

    Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

    US
    S 184 (September 26, 2012)
    <B>P 1,638 (October 12, 2012)</B>

    Canada
    S 3 (February 23, 2012)
    P 55 (May 22, 2012)

    Europe
    S 34 (Signature 14, 2012)
    P 107 (October 3, 2012)

    Switzerland
    P 35 (October 5, 2012)

    Hong Kong
    P 11 (October 4, 2012)

    <B>Gross Total: 2,060 - October 12, 2012</B>

    S = Signature Series (Model X)
    P = General Production (Model X)
  • edited November -1
    As of October 5, 2012, projected total reservations by end 2013:

    <b>(2060*690)/244 = 5,825
    .
    :)
  • edited November -1
    Hi from Bulgaria.
    Model X, General Production
    #7 for Bulgaria


    :)
  • edited November -1
    Reserved in Westchester, NY today. Ended up reserving a Model X Production & then a Model X Signature. There was an issue, so the Model X Production is being credited, but I received a reservation # for both.

    Model X Signature #204
    Model X Production #1712
  • edited November -1
    Model X Signature #205
    Olympic Peninsula (near Port Townsend) Wa
  • edited November -1
    This thread is intended to track Model X reservations.

    If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post the 1) reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

    The Model S Reservation Tally can be found here:
    http://www.teslamotors.com/forum/forums/model-s-reservation-tally

    Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

    US
    <B>S 209 (October 29, 2012)</B>
    <B>P 1,712 (October 27, 2012)</B>

    Canada
    S 3 (February 23, 2012)
    P 55 (May 22, 2012)

    Europe
    S 34 (Signature 14, 2012)
    <B>P 116 (October 31, 2012)</B>

    Switzerland
    P 35 (October 5, 2012)

    Hong Kong
    P 11 (October 4, 2012)

    <B>Gross Total: 2,168 - October 31, 2012</B>

    S = Signature Series (Model X)
    P = General Production (Model X)
  • edited November -1
    As of October 31, 2012, projected total reservations by end 2013:

    <b>(2168*690)/270 = 5,540
    .
    :(
  • edited November -1
    Just upgraded my wife's Model X to signature. P1146 -> S207.

    Odd that it's a lower sig number than the S209 in the tally.
  • edited November -1
    Just received my reservation, and it too was lower than the tally:

    US
    S 208 (November 6, 2012)
  • edited November -1
    If you upgrade from production to signature then you're number becomes what it would have been if you had reserved signature right away.
  • edited November -1
    I've heard that too, but how is that possible +Jason.archibald? Unless two people can have the same number, or change everybody elses number....
    Philip
  • edited November -1
    Just upgraded 60 seconds ago. Was P#1638, now S#211.
  • edited November -1
    The #209 looks like a typo. The only post on October 29 listed S#205, but the next tally reported that 209 for that date. Looks like it was an error in copying the number over?
  • edited November -1
    New here... after dabating on model S... I leased Nissan Leaf for 24 month instead (it was a deal I couldn't refuse) and just placed a reservation for a Model X.

    P1774, Seattle, Washington. Hope it's ready by 11/2014 when the lease on my Leaf is over.
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