"During the quarter, we delivered 11,603 vehicles, slightly above the number estimated in our October announcement."
"In Q4, we plan to build 15,000 to 17,000 vehicles, and deliver 17,000 to 19,000 vehicles, which will result in 50,000 to 52,000
total deliveries for the year."
If Tesla would offer a portable generator on a small trailer, or mounted on a car bumper(may be), I think they would encrease demand for the car. Cyclon Power Technologies Inc (CYPW) has a good idea of a clean generator which you can also use to power your house in a blackout
If there will be 2,664 (or more) Tesla Model S deliveries in Q4 2015 in California, that will get them to an annual total of 10,000 (or more) Tesla Model S deliveries in one calender year, for the first time.
If it all goes according to plan, then they really could realise at least 48,000 Tesla Model S deliveries in 2015. And that would already be an increase of more than 51% (compared to 2014).
If they realise 50,000 then that would be an increase of almost 58% (compared to 2014).
\\ If it all goes according to plan, then they really could realise at least 48,000 Tesla Model S deliveries in 2015. ... an increase of more than 51%//
^^ Yes. That's a healthy growth rate, except that Tesla hoped to grow faster.
BTW, where did you get the 48,000 estimate for 2015 deliveries?
AFAIK, I was the first to post that estimate on Tesla's forums, based on my regression analysis of past sales data. Of course, a certain Tesla forum participant sometimes known as PD would probably denounce that estimate as meaningless since it involves extrapolation.
Time will tell.
For those who care, I hope Tesla exceeds my 48K estimate. The more, the better.
According to Inside EVs there were 25,700 Tesla Model S deliveries in North America (the US + Canada) in 2015, that's more than 51% of the total global Tesla Model S deliveries in 2015 (50,366).
Comments
Cumulative total Tesla Model S deliveries:
2012 - 2,650
2013 - 22,477
2014 - 31,655
2015 - 21,577 (10,045+11,532)
Total so far: 78,359
Q3 2015 will be about 11,580.
And then the cumulative total will be close to 90,000.
Q4 2015 will be about 15,000 (that's just a guess).
And then the cumulative total will be higher than 100,000.
"During the quarter, we delivered 11,603 vehicles, slightly above the number estimated in our October announcement."
"In Q4, we plan to build 15,000 to 17,000 vehicles, and deliver 17,000 to 19,000 vehicles, which will result in 50,000 to 52,000
total deliveries for the year."
Cumulative total Tesla Model S deliveries:
2012 - 2,650
2013 - 22,477
2014 - 31,655
2015 - 33,180 (10,045 + 11,532 + 11,603)
Total so far: 89,962
In Q4 2015 there will probably be at least 15,000 Tesla Model S deliveries.
And they will sell nearly that many next year alone.
"During the quarter, we delivered 11,603 vehicles, slightly above the number estimated in our October announcement."
That's a total of Tesla Model S and Tesla Model X vehicles.
Tesla Model S: 11,597
Tesla Model X: 6
Cumulative total Tesla Model S deliveries:
2012 - 2,650
2013 - 22,477
2014 - 31,655
2015 - 33,174 (10,045 + 11,532 + 11,597)
Total so far: 89,956
<img src=https://g.foolcdn.com/editorial/images/185194/tesla-vehicle-sales-growth-q3-2015_large.png>
<img src=https://g.foolcdn.com/editorial/images/185194/tesla-guidance-q4-2015_large.png>
"I expect Tesla to deliver about 48,000 cars to customers in 2015."
That would still be an increase of more than 51% compared to 2014.
[[ @ Grinnin
[[ "I expect ... about 48,000 cars to customers in 2015."
That would still be an increase of more than 51% compared to 2014.
^^ Yes, it would. Which is a rather hearty growth rate, but below Tesla's projection.
That's in 30 months time (since June 2012).
When will the 200,000th Tesla Model S be delivered?
Cumulative total Tesla Model S deliveries in California: 23,006
2012: 1,230
2013: 8,330
2014: 6,110
2015: 7,336 (=Q1+Q2+Q3)
California has taken a significant portion of the cumulative global total: 25.57%
What can we expect in Q4 2015?
Link: http://www.cncda.org/CMS/Pubs/Cal Covering 3Q 15-CNCDA edits.pdf
If they realise 50,000 then that would be an increase of almost 58% (compared to 2014).
\\ If it all goes according to plan, then they really could realise at least 48,000 Tesla Model S deliveries in 2015. ... an increase of more than 51%//
^^ Yes. That's a healthy growth rate, except that Tesla hoped to grow faster.
BTW, where did you get the 48,000 estimate for 2015 deliveries?
AFAIK, I was the first to post that estimate on Tesla's forums, based on my regression analysis of past sales data. Of course, a certain Tesla forum participant sometimes known as PD would probably denounce that estimate as meaningless since it involves extrapolation.
Time will tell.
For those who care, I hope Tesla exceeds my 48K estimate. The more, the better.
2015 - 33,174 (10,045 + 11,532 + 11,597)
+ 15,000
= 48,174
"BYD Plug-In Electric Car Sales Surge To 7,000 In November"
Link: http://insideevs.com/byd-plug-in-electric-car-sales-surge-to-7000-in-november/#comment-768726
2012 - 2,650
2013 - 22,477
2014 - 31,655
2015 - 33,174 (10,045 + 11,532 + 11,597)
Total so far: 89,956
Q4 2015 = 17,192 (Official number to be announced in February 2016)
Total 2015 = 10,045 + 11,532 + 11,597 + 17,192 = 50,366
2012 - 2,650
2013 - 22,477
2014 - 31,655
2015 - 50,366
Total = 107,148 Tesla Model S
And also 214 Tesla Model X in 2015
2012 - 2,650
2013 - 22,477
2014 - 31,655
2015 - 33,174 (10,045 + 11,532 + 11,597)
Total so far: 89,956
Q4 2015 = 17,272 Model S + 206 Model X (Official numbers announced in February 2016).
Total 2015 = 10,045 + 11,532 + 11,597 + 17,272 = 50,446
2012 - 2,650
2013 - 22,477
2014 - 31,655
2015 - 50,446
Total = 107,228 Tesla Model S
And also 212 Tesla Model X in 2015 (Q3=6, Q4=206)