Submitted by scotttilson on November 11, 2014
It seems that everyone here is WAY too optimistic on future Model X Deliveries given the postponements to date. Elon could deliver the very first Signatures in mid September 2015 and still meet the latest deadline. If they fulfill all Sigs by 10/15 and then average 1000 regular production vehicles a week for the first 10 weeks, only people holding the first 10,000 regular production reservations would be delivered in very late 2015. I think that is a realistic scenario, and one that could easily be pushed back another 3 months or more.