Preamble: I want what is best for Tesla Motors (the company), Tesla Owners (everyone eventually, hopefully . . .) and TSLA, and I think I've come to the (parochial) conclusion that Tesla needs to allocate resources commensurate with ownership density. In general, they have accomplished this goal and their accomplishments in creating a network of fast chargers. If you think that everything Tesla is doing is perfect and question how dare I please feel free to read no further.
3 Supercharger Network principles:
1. Supercharger should (primarily) enable long distance travel.
2. Supercharging should be comparable in time to stopping with a ICE car.
3. Long (if infrequent) waits are not acceptable (even) at peak periods of use because they amplify the disparity in fueling time.
Recent (credible) reports of 1400 job openings currently means Tesla is likely behind the curve when it comes to many goals. They are aware of the (good to have) problems generated by unexpectedly large numbers of sales in California.
It seems CRAZY to talk about 25 or 50 additional Superchargers in a single state but that is what is needed in California because Tesla vehicle sales increased at least 73% YOY and 47% sequentially in Q4 2015.
Superchargers currently under construction that I would (love to) use include:
*Mammoth Lakes - (I (happily) paid $20 to charge at the Westin Monache). But would spend the $20 (across the street) at the Chart House on crab cakes.
*Buttonwillow - Interstate 5 is a rather unpleasant (but unfortunately, direct) route connecting Los Angeles and San Francisco Bay Area.
*Santa Barbara for weekend getaways.
*Napa for wine.
Tesla has promised an order of magnitude greater number of HPWCs than Superchargers. ~600 Superchargers in operation (or various stages of planning) means that there are ~6000 HPWCs installed (or intended to be) throughout the world.
Projects like Airbnb with 41 rentals available.
Tesla is giving these chargers away as fast as possible. In 2 years, they'll (hopefully?) be ready for the Model 3 launch. With 100,000 Model S and X on California roads by then, Supercharging, HPWC and Software (should and hopefully) will enable a dense charging coverage network comparable (or better than) the ICE experience.
Tesla can fix an overcrowding "anomaly" by using their knowledge of the position and charging status of every (Tesla) vehicle to prevent overcrowding. Letting people see status in real time will allow them to make the best and most informed decision of where/when to stop and charge.
In addition, robocharging a.k.a Procto-bot and charging "reservations" will allow Tesla to encourage alternate Supercharging destinations to prevent surges. Autopilot parking is a big part of the future of charging, where cars will be able to be moved around on private property where (most) Superchargers currently exist.
California is ground zero, localized in Southern California and the Bay Area. They are going to (and have) run into lots of corner cases. Road closures due to snow and fire, power failures, Tesla conventions and gatherings etc.
This thread is intended to help Tesla crowdsource 2nd tier sites and for suggestions for where additional Supercharging might help.
My wishlist of 2nd tier Supercharging locations include:
Northern & Central California
Groveland - Permit March 1, 2016
Half Moon Bay
Santa Ana - Permited as of February 17, 2016
Temecula - Under Construction as of March 22, 2016
All should be far enough from major population centers to primarily enable long distance travel with the shortest detouring.
What do you think?
Should Tesla spend money on employees actings as valets and paying for tows or should they ramp up their investment in Supercharging creating robust network effects and added redundancy?
If you have any suggestions for a Supercharger:
Tesla is currently building out the Supercharger network and is actively seeking locations along major transit corridors where Superchargers can be hosted. Supercharger stations should be easily accessible from the highway, conveniently located near 24 hr amenities, and safe & well-lit. If you own a property that matches this profile, know someone who does, or are able to help in some way, then please fill the form below. If the proposed site is a good fit, we will reach out.
If you know anyone who might want to install at an HPWC, qualified properties will receive their first two Tesla wall connectors free of charge as long as they are installed in visible or convenient locations.
If your hotel, resort, club, or other full service destination is interested in partnering with Tesla Motors to install charging hardware, Tesla may be able to provide free or discounted Tesla Wall Connectors for our mutual customers' use. Designed to incentivize thought leaders in the hospitality industry, Tesla will offer this program to early adopters who wish to attract forward thinking and passionate customers.
Some research on how Tesla is doing keeping up with density:
If you don't watch the video, here is the bottom line:
39.3 Teslas per Supercharger stall - Worldwide
62.8 Tesla per Supercharger stall - Netherlands (worst in the world)
105 Teslas per Supercharger stall - California
Tesla is adding 1000 Superchargers to California this year. The map has been updated. Thank you Tesla!
We started 2017 with over 5,000 Superchargers globally and by the end of this year, Tesla will double that number to total more than 10,000 Superchargers and 15,000 Destination Charging connectors around the world. In North America, we’ll increase the number of Superchargers by 150 percent, and in California alone we’ll add more than 1,000 Superchargers. We’re moving full speed on site selection and many sites will soon enter construction to open in advance of the summer travel season.
Toward that goal, Tesla will build larger sites along our busiest travel routes that will accommodate several dozen Teslas Supercharging simultaneously. In addition, many sites will be built further off the highway to allow local Tesla drivers to charge quickly when needed, with the goal of making charging ubiquitous in urban centers.
Tesla is adding 23 Superchargers to Los Angeles County alone.