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Why the long wait for Model 3?

Why the long wait for Model 3?

A year and a half is a long time to wait for the Model 3. Forgive me for being naive, but why will it take so long to start building? To some degree, they can make the car now (the prototypes they showed off.) I understand those those not being final versions, but it shows they are close to the target design and it's been in the works for awhile, so why can't they start building them sooner? Is it all about mass production capacity and batteries?

TrevP | 2016年4月10日

Pretty sure there's still a fair bit of design left to do to get to the final design. There are unannounced features that we still don't know about. I imagine they can't even start building the tooling for the factory until the design is final.

jordanrichard | 2016年4月10日

With the design not being finalized, they can't just start cranking them out. Once they do have all the parts finalized, they have to get with all of their suppliers to make the parts and ship them to Freemont. Then there is what has be widely reported, the need for the Gigafactory to be up and running, producing battery packs.

TesMD | 2016年4月10日

As others have said, gigafactory needs to be operational to reduce cost of batteries and after final design is set, assembly line/s need to be set up which requires tens if not hundreds of robots which requires lots of capital.

Red Sage ca us | 2016年4月10日

Well, there's this really big building in the Reno NV desert...

BumblebeEV | 2016年4月10日

Why don't Toyota start their production of their electric vehicle too? What are they waiting for?

Red Sage ca us | 2016年4月10日

Toyota, along with numerous other traditional automobile manufacturers negotiated (demanded) that CARB give them the highest possible amount of ZEV Credits for producing extremely limited production Hydrogen Fuel Cell Electric Vehicles such as the Mirai. With that commitment in hand, and a firm commitment to build a whole 3,000 of them for distribution worldwide within a three year period, Toyota promptly Discontinued 100% of their Battery Electric Vehicle programs. Toyota was waiting for an opportunity to get the absolute most from doing the absolute least they could manage with alternative fuel programs for compliance cars. They are happy to know they will be able to build on the order of 30,000,000 ICE vehicles over that same three year period.

Chunky Jr. | 2016年4月10日

Here are some guesses why it would take a while to get Model 3 in production:
1) the design is not yet final
2) there is still engineering to do in order to make the new motors production quality
3) lots of safety testing to do
4) lots of software still to write for various parts of the car (dash, display, sensors, control systems, battery pack, etc)
5) lots of testing to do on all the hardware and software they are building
6) they need to finalize design of the assembly line and get the necessary equipment, custom robots, etc. plus time to debug the line to make sure it is optimal
7) time needed to stress test the car to make sure it doesn't break down prematurely and operates in the required temperature range

It's probably 100x easier to build one car than it is to put the pieces in place to build 100K cars.

acuoio | 2016年4月10日

Don't forget that the large majority of the building time of the cars is robotic work. You need to finalize the design before you can begin to program the robots. 5 years is the target for a concept to production release of any car.