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How often have you Checked Your Estimated Delivery?

How often have you Checked Your Estimated Delivery?

I have to admit I can be a bit OCD about things like this so I have been clicking a couple of times a day. Still at Feb-Apr 2018 for the Standard Battery model, which is what I will probably order. The Dual Motor All-Wheel Drive started Oct-Dec 2018, now at Aug-Oct 2018. First Production hasn't changed, Dec 2017 - Feb 2018. I reserved online as soon as it was available.
Is there somebody in the Tesla IT dept monitoring how often reservation holders check, then changing their place in the queue depending on how obsessed they are? :)

alias4me | 2017年8月8日

Forgot to add that I do not own a Tesla, and live in Utah.

cascadiadesign | 2017年8月8日

Daily :)

Mainly curious if the initial estimates were a SWAG and if they would change soon after. I'm assuming the estimates will become more focused as Tesla climbs up the S curve.

Vikman | 2017年8月8日

Yes I have a feeling the estimates with change(for better or worse) once production really starts to ramp up. I'm hoping they start producing AWD sooner so maybe I would consider getting it.

Carl Thompson | 2017年8月8日

Thanks for reminding me. I haven't checked it in almost 2 hours!

alias4me | 2017年8月8日

Carl, you just slid down the delivery queue! Hopefully I was just behind you and am now in front.

burdogg | 2017年8月8日

I keep checking to see if they get their system fixed - I am a current owner and have been since 2015, ordered the exact same time as you, live in CO and have the same delivery dates - which goes to show somehow they don't have me in the owners category - even though I emailed and they said they have it linked to my account and show me as an owner.

So something is either messed up with their calculator and we can't trust it, or I am just messed up and have to work with them until they get it correct :)

ejunk | 2017年8月8日

Everyday but so far nothing's change. I don't think it will change until the actual production in October. I think now they are producing for the employees, right? It's taking so long.

12Brent | 2017年8月8日

I've checked it twice since I started reading this thread.

Rutrow | 2017年8月8日

The only thing that's changed on my Model 3 Delivery Estimator page has been my Reservation Date!?!
Made it on Jan. 6th (a friday), now shows as Jan. 8th (sunday)?!? What the huh?

gar1116 | 2017年8月8日

"I think now they are producing for the employees, right? It's taking so long."
Hey, if the employees get their M3 first, won't they all be out driving instead of in the plant building ours?

Only kidding. Thanks Tesla Guys for doing the impossible!

stevenroglen | 2017年8月8日

Daily. Sometimes i'll check it a few times while cruising the forums (right click open in new window is my best friend)

csmith476 | 2017年8月8日

Multiple times a day, and my estimated delivery (for standard battery) isn't even until May-Jul 2018. It will be a long year, but I am trying to enjoy the excitement.

Carl Thompson | 2017年8月8日

@burdogg

I suspect the system isn't broken. There just may not be so many owners who've ordered in Colorado to make the first potential delivery month different than for non-owners in the OP's Utah. If Tesla is counting Utah and Colorado as the same region then you'll get your Model 3 sometime in Feb-Apr 2018 but _before_ the OP (a non-owner) gets his Model 3 in Feb-Apr 2018. Or possibly, Utah is considered a different region there and they'll get deliveries before Colorado.

Carl

PhillyGal | 2017年8月8日

It's been a few days, to be honest. I won't take much stock in it until I see what it says the day I'm invited to configure.

Steam613 | 2017年8月8日

Daily. Well sometimes Daily +. Awww mostly Daily ++
But I've been off work several days. I'll normalize once I medicate and get distracted by work.

burdogg | 2017年8月8日

Carl Thompson - yeah, but unfortunately, there are several different East Coast owners with delivery estimates of Oct-Dec. Not sure how in the World Florida would beat Colorado in Deliveries :) Or someone up north east (can't remember who up there posted their dates but again, they were Oct-Dec).

burdogg | 2017年8月8日

PhillyGal - What are your dates? it seems like you posted once it was Oct-Dec, but then it changed. So just curious :)

Mblaze76 | 2017年8月8日

Daily. Still says November - Jan for first production and I'll take it for a non owner!

davidtstewart | 2017年8月8日

My "First Production" version that I'm considering is currently to "Nov 2017 - Jan 2018"...

BUT if the "Dual Motor All-Wheel Drive" bumps from the current "Jul - Sep 2018" to "Mar - May 2018" BEFORE I lock in and confirm my order I'll DEFINITELY switch/upgrade and wait! :)

gavinmcc | 2017年8月8日

once a day...hasn't changed...and I get sad...but then I think, crap, what if it moved further out...and then I am happy it didn't change.

If it ever changed even just one month sooner I would be soooo happy....

but if it changed one month later I would be soooo sad....

So maybe best it hasn't changed.

G

Mblaze...yeah, that is great for a non owner...I would love that...mine is 2 months later...but I'm in New Mexico and a non owner, so I guess Jan-March isn't bad...though I am planning on standard battery, so my real date is March to May (please let it be march and not may...)

PhillyGal | 2017年8月8日

@burr - Right now it's showing Oct-Dec for first production; Dec - Feb 2018 for standard battery.

chris.pribe | 2017年8月8日

Pretty much daily, though it isn't changing much.

I've been at Nov '17 - Jan'18 for first production for a while.

burdogg | 2017年8月8日

Thanks PhillyGal - that helps confirm that something is up with my reservation :)

bmalloy0 | 2017年8月8日

I check multiple times every day. I'm relatively early in the queue (online pre-reveal) so I don't expect it to change much (if at all). But still I check.

bj | 2017年8月8日

I've checked it once. It's not going to change for me in the next 15 months, so it's a case of move along, nothing to see here.

garyrandwilliams | 2017年8月8日

@burdogg

We have an S - stood in line on the 31st (Park Meadows mall) and live in CO. It's showing delivery time of Oct- Dec 2017 for me.

Maybe I got up earlier? (Maniacal laughing)

But keep posting and let's see who drives off first- K?

fritter63 | 2017年8月8日

Estimated dates have disappeared for me on My Tesla. They told me (on the phone) that they've been making changes to it, because the dates weren't accurate, and it should be back online in a couple days at most.

Daryl | 2017年8月8日

Has it ever changed for anyone?

alias4me | 2017年8月8日

I am the OP, it did for me. You can see details in the first post.

Shock | 2017年8月8日

Every day or two and may-jul2018 is the estimate still.

georgehawley.fl.us | 2017年8月8日

I can only estimate how often I look at the estimate.

burdogg | 2017年8月8日

@garyrandwilliams - Thanks for the info - that helps a lot as I can continue to work on Tesla and make sure I get up to where I hope to be - It can affect my decisions on what I do based on timing.

Knarlyd | 2017年8月8日

I made a confirmed reservation on August 4 2017. When I login I don't see hardly any estimates on my Tesla account.
I live in southern California and wonder when I might b getting an email to place my order?

flwrman | 2017年8月9日

Check mine every day !! Non owner, live 5 miles from factory, stood in line on the 31st March 2016 and reserved 17 min after doors opened. Want the LR for trips as am retired. It changed from Oct-Dec to Nov-Jan 2018. The change came about a couple of weeks after they started showing delivery dates !!! Go figure !!!!!

Carl Thompson | 2017年8月9日

@flwrman

You and I must have been pretty close together in line... I'll bet I have photos of you!

Carl

KP in NPT | 2017年8月9日

the AWD estimate moved up 3 months for me.

kayaktom | 2017年8月9日

All the time.

eeb9 | 2017年8月9日

I never check it more than 12 times a day. I'm quite patient that way.

joan | 2017年8月9日

I stood in line in Southern California on March 31st and got my reservation in the first 20 minutes after the store opened. My delivery estimator is currently showing November 2017 - January 2018.

burdogg | 2017年8月9日

KP - when are your delivery estimates now ( all three options, production 1, 2 and AWD)?

EVMan | 2017年8月9日

Far too often!!

I am on the East coast, 3/31/2016 10:06 AM reservation. Non owner.
Estimates are:
First Production: 11/2017-1/2018
Standard: 1/2018 - 3/2018
AWD: 7/2018 - 9/2018

KP in NPT | 2017年8月9日

@burdogg - First production oct-dec 2017, standard dec-feb, AWD Jun-aug 2018. AWD is the only one that changed.

Carl Thompson | 2017年8月9日

@KP

Aren't you on the east coast? Those look like west coast dates...

Carl

KP in NPT | 2017年8月9日

I am - I am assuming I'd be on the later end of each range due to east coast. I'm also waiting for white seats so we'll see when it really ends up being. :) I've seen other east coast owners with the same dates tho.

purplegobi | 2017年8月9日

I'm on the east coast, an non-Tesla owner and ordered on 4/1/2016. Here is my estimated delivery date:
First Production
310 mile range, Rear Wheel Drive and premium upgrades
$49,000
Jan - Mar 2018

burdogg | 2017年8月9日

It seems all current owners that reserved on day one go the Oct-Dec window (except me, i feel left out :(

Thanks KP for those dates - that makes waiting for AWD very risky if you want full tax credit. Some major deciding to do :)

jefjes | 2017年8月9日

I'm thinking of setting it up as my homepage so it won't take so many clicks and I can just hit refresh a few times every few minutes.

dclesse | 2017年8月10日

Hello dear Tesla fans,
I'm in Belgium, not owner, reserved on 3/31/2016.
Base version, RN108229897, estimated delivery:
"Late 2018"
Very, very sad...

Furioso | 2017年8月10日

Same as previous post now - only one estimated date. Changed from showing three options - First, Standard, AWD (which were the same anyway) - that previously displayed "Early 2019".

Yippie - kay - key! :D :D

flwrman | 2017年8月10日

@ Carl Thompson---That would be interesting to see as well as you!! We might have talked to each other !! I have gray hair, was wearing a cap and had a black backpack.

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